IEA Says Oil Prices May Fall Even Further Before Supply Fades in 2016

(Bloomberg) -- Jeff Brown, president of energy consultant FGE, talks about the factors influencing the crude oil market.

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Oil prices may fall further as the world remains “massively oversupplied,” before markets tighten in 2016 when output growth outside OPEC grinds to a halt, according to the International Energy Agency.

There will be no overall production growth outside the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries next year for the first time since 2008, according to the IEA. Growth in U.S. shale oil supplies will stagnate to the middle of 2016 while output declines in Russia, the Paris-based adviser said in its first detailed assessment of the year ahead. Global oil demand growth will slow, the agency predicted.