Here's How Likely Banks Think Brexit Is
And how they say to trade it.
This article is for subscribers only.
With just under a month to go until the U.K. vote on EU membership, investors are relatively sanguine as a flurry of polls show the remain camp firmly in the lead and betting odds for the U.K. staying in the trade bloc are at their shortest yet.
Analysts at Nomura see the likelihood of a Brexit at 25 percent while Societe Generale economists put the probability as high as 45 percent.