Why You Shouldn't Necessarily Trust the Convention Bounce

Trump's claim of enjoying “one of the biggest bounces in decades" is overstated—and most convention bounces are deceptive.

Supercut: DNC Day 3 in 3 Minutes

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As the Democratic National Convention draws to a close in Philadelphia this week, Hillary Clinton can only wish for the kind of polling bump her husband enjoyed after he was first nominated in 1992.

Bill Clinton shot up in the national Gallup poll by 16 percentage points following his convention in New York City, helped by the withdrawal from the race by independent candidate H. Ross Perot on the last night of the meeting. The lead over President George H.W. Bush was one Clinton would never give back. He eventually won—Perot had by then rejoined the race—by 5.5 points nationally.