Boeing Risks $5 Billion in Revenue on 787 Probe’s Outcome

Lock
This article is for subscribers only.

As government regulators investigate Boeing Co.’s 787 Dreamliner and company engineers search for solutions, investors and analysts are grappling with the bottom-line question: How much will the plane’s grounding cost?

The answer depends on what probes in the U.S. and Japan uncover, with scenarios ranging from a quick resolution if a few defective parts have to be swapped out to a drawn-out inquiry that requires a fundamental redesign. The worst case scenario: The Dreamliner’s problems run so deep that Chief Executive Officer Jim McNerney has to write off about $5 billion in anticipated revenue, said Howard Rubel, a Jefferies & Co. analyst who puts the odds of that at about 4 percent.