, Columnist
Trump’s Conviction Is More Likely Than It Appears
It all depends on how Republican senators see impeachment affecting their chances of re-election.
But will Republican senators turn their backs on him?
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The risk of a Senate conviction of President Donald Trump is higher than it may at first appear. This is the conclusion I reach by applying game theory.
Start with the motives of those involved. Republican senators, like most politicians, desire re-election. There are two major threats to their re-election.