David Fickling, Columnist

Iron Ore’s Rally Is Living on Borrowed Time

Those making bullish bets on the metal after the Vale disaster may be in for a dose of karma. Prices are more likely to collapse than extend.

Don’t count on this rally.

Photographer: Waldo Swiegers/Bloomberg
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Commodities love a tragedy.

Last week’s burst of a tailings dam at a Vale SA iron ore mine in Brazil’s Minas Gerais state has left close to a hundred, and possibly approaching 400, people dead. Far from wilting at the news, iron ore has been surging — up 12 percent in the last five days, its biggest five-day jump in about 18 months.