Lone Polish Analyst Becomes Top Forecaster for EM Currencies
- Grejner bet central bank stimulus would see risk assets rally
- Dollar is set to revive in second half as global threats loom
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A lone foreign-exchange strategist who works in a small city in western Poland better known for its annual wine festival than its financial-services industry has become the most accurate forecaster for emerging-market currencies.
Analyst Bartosz Grejner, the sole foreign-exchange analyst at Cinkciarz.pl, beat 25 qualifying firms including Credit Agricole SA, Commerzbank AG and JPMorgan Chase & Co. by betting the currencies would bounce back last quarter as central banks piled on stimulus. Grejner, who was first in Bloomberg’s Asian and Latin American rankings and second for the Europe, Middle East and Africa region, says the rally will face increased challenges in coming months as looming risks revive demand for the dollar.