Can We Trust the U.K. Poll That Shows Liberal Democrats Leading?
- YouGov puts Brexit Party second, Tories and Labour tied third
- Main parties paying price for fundamental splits on Brexit
Liberal Democrat leader Vince Cable
Photographer: Luke MacGregor/BloombergThis article is for subscribers only.
An astonishing British opinion poll has put the Liberal Democrats in first place, Nigel Farage’s new Brexit Party second, and the Conservatives and Labour Party -- the two biggest -- tied in third. Is this really the moment that U.K. politics is reshaped?
The first thing to note is that the numbers for all four parties are very close. YouGov put the Lib Dems on 24%, the Brexit Party on 22%, and the Tories and Labour both on 19%. Given the recent struggles of British pollsters to predict voting behavior, it might be safer to say there’s little to separate them.