Here's One Commodity Rally That May End Up Being Short-Lived

  • Prices for a type of nitrogen fertilizer are up 60% since June
  • But analysts caution the industry still has excess capacity

An employee inspects stores of ammonium nitrate at a nitrogen fertilizer production facility.

Photographer: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg
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Is it finally time to get excited about nitrogen fertilizer?

Since the end of June, prices for the world’s most commonly used crop nutrient have soared 60 percent in the U.S. -- rebounding from the lowest levels in more than a decade. There have been similar moves in Brazil, India and the Middle East as some major consumers unexpectedly boost purchases.