Economics

Curious Curse of May: Emerging-Market Currency Bulls Beware

  • Developing currencies dropped in six of the last seven Mays
  • There’s vulnerability to a negative surprise: Credit Suisse
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Blame dividend payments, weddings in India, or simply plain profit-taking. Developing-nation currencies could be in for a rough month in May, if history is any guide.

The MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index has fallen in May in the six of the past seven years, a seasonal quirkBloomberg Terminal that’s prompted Citigroup Inc. and Credit Suisse Group AG to warn investors that the gauge’s five-month winning streak may be coming to an end.