Economics

Nobel Winner Shiller Says Recession Risk Looks Elevated

  • Yale economist says risk of a recession this year or next
  • DoubleLine Capital’s Sherman says be cautious with equities

Robert Shiller

Photographer: Simon Dawson/Bloomberg
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Recession risk is real, according to Nobel laureate Robert Shiller, and one might come as soon as this year.

Whether the U.S. will experience a contraction has become one of the hottest debated topics among investors amid uncertainty surrounding U.S.-China trade talks, deteriorating earnings forecasts and slowing growth around the globe. The ambiguity caused the almost decade long rally in U.S. stocks to come within a whisker of its end in December.