Moves in the Fear Gauge Look Good for U.S. Stocks, Sundial Says

Photographer: Gabby Jones/Bloomberg
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The moves in the Cboe Volatility Index are looking positive for U.S. stocks right now, according to Sundial Capital Research Inc.

On Friday, the S&P 500 fell 2.4%, but the VIX rose only 7.8%, a relatively small gain in the volatility gauge given the outsized move in stocks. When the S&P first starts to drop, even a decline of 1.5% or so can lead to a jump of 20% or more in the VIX, Sundial’s Jason Goepfert wrote in a note June 27, citing his colleague Troy Bombardia. As corrections or bear markets continue, large tumbles in the equity gauge elicit relatively smaller increases in the VIX, he said.