Goldman Strategists Say Sell Dollar on Biden Odds, Vaccine

  • Firm recommends buying Mexican peso, Indian rupee against USD
  • A ‘blue wave’ U.S. election could see DXY index test 2018 lows
Dollar Still Safe Haven Even Amid U.S. Risks: BlackRock
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The dollar may tumble to its lows of 2018 on the rising likelihood of Joe Biden winning the U.S. election and progress on a coronavirus vaccine, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

“The risks are skewed toward dollar weakness, and we see relatively low odds of the most dollar-positive outcome -- a win by Mr. Trump combined with a meaningful vaccine delay,” strategists including Zach Pandl wrote in a note Friday. “A ‘blue wave’ U.S. election and favorable news on the vaccine timeline could return the trade-weighted dollar and DXY index to their 2018 lows.”